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Does criminal profiling really work?

Eric Barker
February 20, 2011

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There is a belief that criminal profilers can predict a criminal’s characteristics from crime scene evidence. In this article, the authors argue that this belief may be an illusion and explain how people may have been misled into believing that criminal profiling (CP) works despite no sound theoretical grounding and no strong empirical support for this possibility. Potentially responsible for this illusory belief is the information that people acquire about CP, which is heavily influenced by anecdotes, repetition of the message that profiling works, the expert profiler label, and a disproportionate emphasis on correct predictions. Also potentially responsible are aspects of information processing such as reasoning errors, creating meaning out of ambiguous information, imitating good ideas, and inferring fact from fiction. The authors conclude that CP should not be used as an investigative tool because it lacks scientific support.

Source: “The Criminal Profiling Illusion, What’s Behind the Smoke and Mirrors?” from Criminal Justice and Behavior

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Post Information
Title Does criminal profiling really work?
Author Eric Barker
Date February 20, 2011 1:52 PM UTC (13 years ago)
Blog bakadesuyo
Archive Link https://theredarchive.com/blog/bakadesuyo/does-criminal-profiling-really-work.16158
https://theredarchive.com/blog/16158
Original Link https://www.bakadesuyo.com/2011/02/does-criminal-profiling-really-work/
You can kill a man, but you can't kill an idea.

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