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Should ghost hunters visit casinos?

Eric Barker
November 20, 2010

That would probably be a very bad idea:

Numerous studies have shown paranormal believers misperceive randomness and are poor at judging probability. Despite the obvious relevance to many types of alleged paranormal phenomena, no one has examined whether believers are more susceptible to the âconjunction fallacyâ; that is to misperceiving co-occurring (conjunct) events as being more likely than singular (constituent) events alone. The present study examines believer vs. non-believer differences in conjunction errors for both paranormal and non-paranormal events presented as either a probability or a frequency estimation task. As expected, believers made more conjunction errors than non-believers. This was true for both event types, with both groups making fewer errors for paranormal than for non-paranormal events. Surprisingly, the response format (probability vs. frequency) had little impact. Results are discussed in relation to paranormal believers’ susceptibility to the conjunction fallacy and more generally, to their propensity for probabilistic reasoning biases.

Source: “Paranormal belief and susceptibility to the conjunction fallacy” from Applied Cognitive Psychology, Volume 23, Issue 4, pages 524â542, May 2009

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TheRedArchive is an archive of Red Pill content, including various subreddits and blogs. This post has been archived from the blog bakadesuyo.

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Post Information
Title Should ghost hunters visit casinos?
Author Eric Barker
Date November 20, 2010 6:02 PM UTC (13 years ago)
Blog bakadesuyo
Archive Link https://theredarchive.com/blog/bakadesuyo/should-ghost-hunters-visit-casinos.16529
https://theredarchive.com/blog/16529
Original Link https://www.bakadesuyo.com/2010/11/should-ghost-hunters-visit-casinos/
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