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Ugocsa_non__coronat Archive

View 0 posts and 6 comments by Ugocsa_non__coronat on TheRedPill subreddit and various other subreddits related to The Red Pill community.
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6

I wish more teachers would teach to the dumbest kids in class. Kids who don't get it, are not necessarily dumb, but people process information very differently. The human brain is a very complicated contraption with a lot of moving parts. Our current education system caters to people who process information best by reading it, but reading is only one of the VARK modalities (and of course the VARK modalities are only a part of the full human spectrum of learning). You are probably stronger in vis…
/r/TheRedPill04/08/21 08:37 AM
3

Hm, how about if we take another model? Maybe it is easier to imagine like this. We take 1000 apples. 300 apples are red, 700 are green. Then we take 5% of the green apples (35 pieces in this case) and overpaint them with red, and mix them with all the other red. If you take a red apple into hand, what is the probability of it being red for real, and what is the probability of it being a green one overpainted with red? Yes, if you have no information about the state of the general population wha…
/r/TheRedPill04/08/21 07:45 AM
3

Yes, the test result is independent from the percentage of the ill and healthy people. But when you get that result, the question you have to ask yourself, is: "do I belong into the sub-population of false positives or into the population of ill and positive people?" And that answer greatly depends on the share of population who are ill for real.
/r/TheRedPill04/08/21 06:20 AM
3

Well, it is a useful mental tool to know how to solve this kind of task. On the other hand, I think OP is being overly dramatic, and yeah, I wouldn't say people who can't solve this example are functionally illiterate.
/r/TheRedPill03/08/21 01:31 AM
1

No, that checks out, 0,3/0,335=0,8955.
/r/TheRedPill03/08/21 12:21 AM
8

As for that test, if I test positive and the test has 5% false positives, I'm 95% likely to have the disease? If the test gives a false positive in 5% of the time, and never have a false negative, then you will have two groups, who will test positive: a, 30% of the population are ill and give a positive result; b, of the healthy 70% 0,7*0,05=0,035 will test positive. So altogether 33,5% of the population will test positive, and if you test positive, you will have 0,3/0,335=0,896, as in 89,6% cha…
/r/TheRedPill03/08/21 12:18 AM
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