I can't help but wonder if a selection bias is skewing things.

ConstantChinner · 2018-07-07T07:35:23+00:00

Ask her to imagine you presenting her with a box of hand grenades. You tell her “Don’t worry. Not all of hand grenades will explode in your face. Some of them are duds.”. You tell her to pick one and pull the pin. When she hesitates, you ask: “What’s wrong? Go ahead!! Pick one and pull the pin! Not all hand grenades are like that!! You just need to pick the right one!!”.

No reasonable person would pull the pin, because it clearly fails a cost/benefit analysis. Even if the grenade doesn’t explode, the BEST thing that happens is: you don’t die. This is not a positive. Not dying does not justify gambling with your life.

This reveals “NAWALT” as a ridiculous argument and no more than a cheap manipulation tactic. She wouldn’t fall for it herself, so she must either think you are intensely stupid, or she is intensely stupid herself. There is simply no reward (or benefit) in believing “not all grenades are like that”.

DangZagnut · 2018-07-07T07:40:16+00:00

As they say, she's isn't yours, it's just your turn.

AWALT doesn't mean all women are doing everything negative at all times, any more than a wife beater is beating his wife 24/7. It just means that the social option exists, or the biological drive is there.

Sure you can meet a woman who is aesexual and therefore wouldn't cheat on you, or monkey branch perhaps for sexual reasons, and maybe she only care about personality, or intelligence, or whatever, but why would you want her unless you're just like her?

You might as well just have a friend you hang out with.

Women's biologic drives and nature will eventually come up. Perhaps not just now, not just in ten years, but one day. People change all throughout their lives, so what you're seeing on the lot today is not what you'll see tomorrow.

Socially, she also has AWALT aspects come up. It could be social pressure to "take you to the cleaners" during a divorce, where it might be mutual between you to, but she's convinced to get a a th0t pension, or use children as leverage.

She might decide she want to be a radical feminist, or gets into the drug scene.

I've known plenty of women who never drink or did drugs, and then one day they do when it's available at a party or with friends then they have a coke problem, or just smoke weed all the time and go nowhere.

Things change, and NAWALT today is AWALT tomorrow.

Plus you have to remember, all of society, culture, and the legal system is for her, not you. So even a misunderstanding can land you in prison, a hospital, or the poor house, no matter what you do.

You buy the ticket, you ride the ride, the statistics aren't in your favor, but that's entirely your decision.

Title	I can't help but wonder if a selection bias is skewing things.
Author	Soronir
Upvotes	1
Comments	3
Date	July 7, 2018 7:31 AM UTC (8 years ago)
Subreddit	Posted in /r/MGTOW
Original Link	https://old.reddit.com/r/MGTOW/comments/8wrjfa/i_cant_help_but_wonder_if_a_selection_bias_is/
Archive Link	https://theredarchive.com/r/MGTOW/i-cant-help-but-wonder-if-a-selection-bias-is.529919 https://theredarchive.com/post/529919

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