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UK: An estimated 42 per cent of marriages now end in divorce, however there is evidence that the proportion is decreasing “for the most recent cohorts”. That is bad odds considering a man has so much to lose.

TR6Cool

November 23, 2015
18 upvotes
/r/MensRights
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/12011714/Divorce-rate-at-lowest-level-in-40-years-after-cohabitation-revolution.html
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Title UK: An estimated 42 per cent of marriages now end in divorce, however there is evidence that the proportion is decreasing “for the most recent cohorts”. That is bad odds considering a man has so much to lose.
Author

TR6Cool

Upvotes 18
Comments 3
Date November 23, 2015 2:32 PM UTC
(10 years ago)
Subreddit Posted in /r/MensRights
Original Link https://old.reddit.com/r/MensRights/comments/3ty1bt/uk_an_estimated_42_per_cent_of_marriages_now_end/
Archive Link https://theredarchive.com/r/MensRights/uk-an-estimated-42-per-cent-of-marriages-now-end.966531
https://theredarchive.com/post/966531
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Comments

[–]--Visionary-- 0 points1 point2 points 10 years ago (2 children) | Copy Link

To be fair, this fact is primarily driven by two reasons:

1.) Fewer people are getting married overall in absolute numbers (and the rates of splitting up in cohabitation settings are waaaaaay higher than that of divorce in marriage).

2.) Those that do get married likely are more "desiring" of marriage as a self-selected pool -- and that "strong self-selected marriage couple" cohort divorce rate and timing could be the same as their similar cohort in years past, but we just don't have the longitudinal data to go out that far yet.

In other words, far more people are simply not getting married, and the ones that are really really like marriage.

[–]xNOM 0 points1 point2 points 10 years ago (1 child) | Copy Link

Fewer people are getting married overall in absolute numbers

Well kind of. It is a one-time effect. They are getting married later. The overall lifetime "ever got married" rate is going down but only a little.

the ones that are really really like marriage.

The ones that are, are college-educated and have higher incomes. The real crash in marriage is among the working class.

[–]--Visionary-- 0 points1 point2 points 10 years ago (0 children) | Copy Link

Well kind of. It is a one-time effect. They are getting married later. The overall lifetime "ever got married" rate is going down but only a little.

Sort of -- but I still think the amount of people who aren't getting married is dropping in absolute numbers fairly substantially. We are assuming that the remaining younger non-married cohabiting cohort is going to eventually marry, but that simply may not be the case for a significant minority of them.

The ones that are, are college-educated and have higher incomes. The real crash in marriage is among the working class.

Oh for sure. The real issue is that a dropping proportion of the college-educated and higher income crowd is men (something which is actually by design given our pro-feminist policy).

In general, women aren't wanting to marry such uneducated less earning men and so, it's not exactly a given that those women will actually "eventually" get married because they may wait too long and hit an heretofore yet unknown age threshold where MEN (even working class ones) won't want to marry THEM.

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