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Futurists always bring up automation-caused job losses when they talk about UBI. I think the "gig economy" is a better reason for UBI.
Understandably, companies don't want to hire you at 22 and retire you 40 years later with a full pension and benefits. Then ten years of golf and rapidly declining health => death. That's how your grandparents lived. Companies today want to be lean and efficient, keeping you as a contractor that they can hire and fire weekly or even daily when they want to. The "company man" is dying or dead.
But I just can't see a whole generation delivering pizzas and taking people to the airport forever and ever. Those people vote. Sooner or late your grandpappy with the General Motors pension and full medical will pass on. Then millennials just might vote themselves a few hundred a month allowance to tide them over when the "gigs" are tight.
We already pay millions of people "just to live" with our social safety net. The advantage of UBI is efficiency. Nobody has to supervise you, make sure you tried to look for work this week, pee test you to make sure you're not on drugs. No paperwork and standing army of social workers and bureaucrats needed for UBI. Just Direct Deposit, like they do now for Social Security. Set it and forget it.
People think it's some giant new taxpayer expense, but really it's just redirecting money out of existing social programs + administrative costs, then peanut buttering over all adults.
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The math does work.
I get $11,006/yr for every adult. But nobody is suggesting zeroing every social program. Some fraction of that would be helpful to all the permanent temps barely surviving now on their "side hustles" though. A few hundred a month?
Also speaking of paying for things, why is the top marginal tax bracket so much lower now than under Reagan? Like 30% lower. If restoring just that one bit of the tax code would "crash the economy", "kill jobs", and "cause capital flight overseas" then why didn't those things happen under Reagan?
There's a lot of money out there to pay for UBI, either what we're spending now or what we decided we didn't want to tax after the 1980s for some reason. (the reason is campaign contributions from wealthy people - I don't know how to fix that)
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