Redditor predicts there will be 100k subscribers on March 30, 2019. How did he do it?

DWShimoda · 2019-03-23T23:34:29+00:00

Last year or two the, subscriber count here on /r/MGTOW has pretty consistently doubled about every 10~12 months (give or take a week or two). That's a wide enough time span that the intermediate "noise" of faster/slower increase at certain times of the year levels out enough to be irrelevant.

Cf https://subredditstats.com/r/mgtow

Somewhat ironically, despite the fact that the -- as graphed there -- the data makes it LOOK like there's a major upward exponential increase... if anything the rate of growth has been slowing (i.e. used to be faster).

To wit: the total breached 50k in early March of 2018 (>12 months ago); prior to that, we hit 25k in circa April/May of 2017 (which was about ~10 months previous), before that ~12+k at the May/June of 2016 (again about ~11 months previous), ~6k in June of 2015 (also 11 months), 3k back in Dec of 2014 (only ~6 mos prior); 1.5k in May of 2014 (again ~6 months prior),etc.

IOW you could probably make a pretty solid prediction right now that -- assuming no banning or "quarantine" or other shenanigans by Reddit (like "culling" inactive accounts) -- it will most likely hit 200k somewhere around March of next year (could actually end up being anywhere from February to May).

Of course in the larger scheme of things... that's really NOT saying all that much; compared to the much more rapid growth of other subs (and/or other "memes" if you will), r/MGTOW is relatively small, slow.

tdh792 · 2019-03-23T22:14:01+00:00

Linear projection. We'll probably hit it tomorrow.

DangZagnut · 2019-03-23T22:05:57+00:00

Only a week off.

Mecha_Hobbit · 2019-03-23T22:16:08+00:00

Kavanaugh effect acceleration

mongolian_usa · 2019-03-23T22:18:48+00:00

I read about a ritual sacrifice involving a timepiece, feminist, and Steve Jobs left foot that would allow you to predict the future. I never thought anyone would actually go through with it. Jinkies!!!

Title	Redditor predicts there will be 100k subscribers on March 30, 2019. How did he do it?
Author	External_Success
Upvotes	15
Comments	6
Date	March 23, 2019 10:04 PM UTC (7 years ago)
Subreddit	Posted in /r/MGTOW
Original Link	https://old.reddit.com/r/MGTOW/comments/b4ouby/redditor_predicts_there_will_be_100k_subscribers/
Archive Link	https://theredarchive.com/r/MGTOW/redditor-predicts-there-will-be-100k-subscribers.493783 https://theredarchive.com/post/493783

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