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The CDC Said 40% Of Rapist Aren't Womam. Has There Ever Been A Counter-Argument To This

HTARCADE

March 1, 2015
2 upvotes
/r/MensRights

I refer to this article.

http://wehuntedthemammoth.com/2013/10/29/cdc-mra-claims-that-40-of-rapists-are-women-are-based-on-bad-math-and-misuse-of-our-data/

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Post Information
Title The CDC Said 40% Of Rapist Aren't Womam. Has There Ever Been A Counter-Argument To This
Author

HTARCADE

Upvotes 2
Comments 14
Date March 1, 2015 8:27 PM UTC
(11 years ago)
Subreddit Posted in /r/MensRights
Original Link https://old.reddit.com/r/MensRights/comments/2xldfd/the_cdc_said_40_of_rapist_arent_womam_has_there/
Archive Link https://theredarchive.com/r/MensRights/the-cdc-said-40-of-rapist-arent-womam-has-there.986949
https://theredarchive.com/post/986949
Red Pill terms in post
MRA
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Comments

[–]c0mputar 3 points4 points5 points 11 years ago (2 children) | Copy Link

Technicality.

The CDC is really reaching in disproving the observation of those who say "40% of rapists are women" by saying that "40% of rapes are perpetrated by women during the last year". The CDC is being accurate, but it is a strawman argument against those who don't make the mistake of the former statement.

There is a difference. The impact of either statement is the same, but they are technically different figures.

[–][deleted] 1 point2 points3 points 11 years ago (1 child) | Copy Link

There IS a difference. However what they are arguing is that something running at a rate of 40% for decades suddenly changed in that one particular year. Futrelle wants you to think that it dropped away to virtually nothing.

[–]c0mputar 0 points1 point2 points 11 years ago (0 children) | Copy Link

It was purely about claiming "__% of rapists are women" when it should be about what victims claimed who they were perpetrated by during a particular year. Technically, a rapist could account for multiple crimes, and yearly perpetration rates could fluctuate.

While the serial offenders do undermine the incorrect quoted statement earlier, the lifetime rate critique is on very shaky ground. There is no reason why victimization by women rates should fluctuate so wildly, nevertheless, who cares?

~40% of rapes are perpetrated by women during 2011.

Everything the CDC wrote has nothing to do with the above statement, and it is still a hard hitting statistic derived from their study.

[–]DavidByron2 4 points5 points6 points 11 years ago (4 children) | Copy Link

Well it's mostly pretty technical. The CDC are ashamed to be called out on this stuff because they know they got caught red handed promoting bigotry, so they put out this sort of correction that doesn't correct thing.

If you read it and understand it then there's "nothing to answer" as the lawyers would say. They actually cop to the charges against them but call out a few largely irrelevant technicalities along the way. So the short reason there's no counter argument is that the CDC didn't disagree with the MRA.

They just phrased the response to make it look like they did.


Wow, deceit from a body that pretends to count male rape victims but in fact misrepresents them as "made to penetrate"? Say it aint so!


Their main point is that the figures don't prove 40% of rapists are women, only that 40% of the people who are raped, are raped by women.

Yeah.

Their other "problem" with it is that they pretend men can't be raped, but that answer makes them look like fucked up bigots so they soft pedaled that "correction".

They point out that the 79.2% as a figure for what proportion of the male rape victims were raped by a sole woman was based on the lifetime figures. So I guess their issue here is that maybe for some bizarre reason its a completely different proportion for the 12 month figures than the lifetime, but they (1) don't supply the actual figures for the 12 month period which they have access to, and (2) don't put forward any suggestion for why the proportions might be different. So that's bullshit.

Then they make the same point as the first one again, three different ways (their points B, C and D).

Then they point out that they skipped off their tables the results for the number of women "made to penetrate" (presumably zero) and the number of men raped by men... because the numbers were so small they considered them insignificant. But now they say well to be accurate you should have included the numbers we said were insignificant and therefore left out of the results. Of course including those figures would actually increase the proportion of male rape victims, not decrease it.


I don't know if the knuckle dragger that posted all this simply had no idea of math (I have two degrees in statistics by the way - not that you'd need it to comprehend the comments but I guess it helps). maybe they are just ignorant, but basically he's crowing about something that his own post shows never happened.


Of all the issues raised by the CDC none seem likely to reduce the best guess at the proportion of women rapists except the first. That's the fact that "40% of rapists are women" is not the same as "40% of people who were raped were raped by women"

Why? because it is possible that it's a tiny number of women doing a huge amount of raping whereas male rapists are plentiful but only rape like one woman each. this would lead to the proportion of female rapists being much lower than 40% although it would also mean that they were a much greater percentage of the worst kind of serial rapist.

My guess is that the reverse is probably true if anything. I would guess it is male rapists who tend to attack more different women than female rapists, and as a result the 40% low counts the number of female rapists, so for my money it's probably more like 50-50 between men and women. The CDC is correct to point out that their figures cannot answer this question (ie whether it's true that there's more female rapists or if it's true that only the most severe rapists are mostly women).

Do most people care about these subtle differences? No.

[–]amynhb 0 points1 point2 points 11 years ago* (1 child) | Copy Link

I agree with most of your comment, but you seem to be forgetting gang rape. Saying 40% of rapists are women instead of 40% of people who are raped are raped by women excludes the possibility of gang rape, since we don't know how many men / women participated in each rape.

edit I realized you already covered what I mentioned in my second paragraph

[–]DavidByron2 0 points1 point2 points 11 years ago (0 children) | Copy Link

The 79.2% stat is for men raped by a sole woman. ie it wouldn't include a man raped by 4 women or a man and a woman, or any other group.

[–]amynhb 0 points1 point2 points 11 years ago (1 child) | Copy Link

Also, would you mind explaining what you understood by the point B?

I think I got it but I'm doubting myself....

[–]DavidByron2 1 point2 points3 points 11 years ago* (0 children) | Copy Link

They are saying that the numbers from the survey are counting rape incidents and not rapists.

Say you have 10 rape incidents. 5 are women raped by men, 1 is a man raped by a man, 4 are men raped by women. Does this mean 40% of rapists are women? No because the same woman might have been the rapist for all 4 incidents (14% of rapists female). Alternatively maybe the same one male rapist raped all 6 victims (80% of rapists female).

Let's say you think many male rapists rape a lot of people but female rapists tend to rape only one. That would mean the number of female rapists is higher than 40%.

[–]Number357 2 points3 points4 points 11 years ago (0 children) | Copy Link

First the only source that the CDC said this is Futrelle so I'm not even sure the statement is real. Second this is an organization that uses a BS definition of rape in order to erase male victims, so I question their motives. As for their point: They are correct in that we do not have statistics for what percent of rapists over the last 12 months are women. That is entirely the fault of the CDC for refusing to investigate the matter. However while there are strong reasons why we would expect the proportion of self-reported victims to vary over lifetime vs 12-months, there is no reason to suggest that the percentage of men being raped by men vs. men raped by women would be substantially different, so although 40% isn't entirely accurate, it's likely not far off and it is the best we have until the CDC decide that we should stop ignoring female rapists and do some actual research. It's certainly far more accurate than the 98-99% that the CDC and feminists typically cite to.

[–]porkchop_d_clown 1 point2 points3 points 11 years ago (1 child) | Copy Link

You should resubmit with a correct headline.

[–]eletheros 3 points4 points5 points 11 years ago (0 children) | Copy Link

and a lack of a direct link to a feminist male hatred site.

[–]MRSPArchiver 0 points1 point2 points 11 years ago (0 children) | Copy Link

Post text automatically copied here. (Why?) (Report a problem.)

[–][deleted] 0 points1 point2 points 11 years ago (0 children) | Copy Link

Tamen prolly has the answer.

[–]MadTrini 0 points1 point2 points 11 years ago (0 children) | Copy Link

use archive links. Don't give crappy blogs/ sites more clicks they don't deserve

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