(PDF) Between 8-12% rape cases established as false, not just unfounded (major UK study)

2wsy · 2012-04-04T16:04:25+00:00

Where do these 8-12% come from? I quote the linked file:

There are false allegations, and possibly slightly more than some researchers and support agencies have suggested. However, at maximum they constitute nine per cent and probably closer to three per cent of all reported cases. An overestimation of the scale by police officers and prosecutors feeds into a culture of scepticism, which in turn leads to poor communication and loss of confidence between complainants and the police.

TracyMorganFreeman · 2012-04-04T18:41:20+00:00

I think problem with these kinds of studies is that we have a small percent that have been demonstrated to be false without question(DNA evidence, recanting) and a percent that is true without question(video evidence, eyewitnesses). What remains in the middle(and is the majority) is hard to determine if was a false allegation or a genuine one, and it's hard to determine either way.

We definitely shouldn't overestimate the false allegations and invite too much scrutiny onto potential victims; and no asking how it happened is due process, not scrutiny. We shouldn't underestimate the false allegations as that may invite too much assumption of guilt on the accused either.

NUMBERS2357 · 2012-04-05T00:18:38+00:00

I bet it's higher. Look at the following that happened in Virginia, when the state started testing DNA from old convictions to see how many innocent people were locked up:

In September 2004, Mark Warner, then Virginia’s governor, ordered a random audit of 31 old criminal cases after a vast trove of biological evidence was discovered lying around in old case files saved by state forensic serologists. The testing of those 31 samples led to the exonerations of two convicted rapists. Warner, embarrassed by the revelations, then ordered in late 2005 that every sample obtained between 1973 and 1988 be rechecked. It amounted to thousands of files. [...]

According to the Richmond Times Dispatch, the state located approximately 800 biological samples of DNA that could be tested. Of those, only 214 were in sufficient condition to yield accurate results. Among these, more than 70 people—one commonly cited figure is 79—appear to have been excluded as the perpetrators of a crime. [...]

At the time Virginia’s audit began, Barry Scheck, co-founder of the Innocence Project, which has used DNA testing to exonerate hundreds of prisoners across the country, noted in astonishment that “a random sample of convicted felons and we're getting a 7 percent exoneration rate" in Virginia. But it appears that a 7 percent exoneration rate may be grossly understating the problem. UVA’s Garrett suspects that the error rate may actually be as high as 17 percent. As he discovered in his own research, Barbour’s conviction, based on the testimony of a single eyewitness, reflects the reality that of the first 250 people exonerated by DNA testing, a whopping 76 percent were misidentified by eyewitnesses.

So, in the state of Virginia, it appears that at least 10% of all convicted felons are innocent - one person says as high as 17%, and the audit of 214 cases revealed almost a third. This is cases with a conviction. And, it's not just false cases, but cases in which DNA evidence proves the person innocent. And it's all cases, not just rape, whether the rate for rape is higher or lower, this is the baseline.

TheRealPariah · 2012-04-05T04:48:39+00:00

These are only cases reported to police - which probably selects to stronger cases anyway. This doesn't account for cases which were not "established" to be false and certainly doesn't account for your general accusation of rape which never makes it to the police (I'm guessing a large number.

curious67 · 2012-04-04T16:40:35+00:00

These numbers are found consistently.

around 6% to 12 % are clearly false so they recommend prosecuting the woman and not the man. Of course, a lot of these women still get off unpunished.

Way over 50% of rape accusations are false. 7.4% blatantly enough to prosecute (Bavarian Police research report)

4 out of 5 sexual abuse accusations are false (Austrian head of vice police)

One in two rape accusations are false! Strauss-Kahn, presumed guilty, jailed, slandered without due process, escaped. Others are not so lucky!

Title	(PDF) Between 8-12% rape cases established as false, not just unfounded (major UK study)
Author	ignatiusloyola
Upvotes	72
Comments	38
Date	April 4, 2012 2:38 PM UTC (14 years ago)
Subreddit	Posted in /r/MensRights
Original Link	https://old.reddit.com/r/MensRights/comments/rsx3l/pdf_between_812_rape_cases_established_as_false/
Archive Link	https://theredarchive.com/r/MensRights/pdf-between-8-12-rape-cases-established-as-false.1024699 https://theredarchive.com/post/1024699

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