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Am I alone thinking this is not a convincing data sample?

trsam

August 30, 2022
11 upvotes
/r/MensRights

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-08-31/women-experiencing-higher-rates-of-sexual-violence-than-thought/101388410

"..using data from Australia's Longitudinal Study on Women's Health"
https://alswh.org.au/about/the-study/survey-timeline-and-participant-numbers/

https://preview.redd.it/74h8khmlsxk91.png?width=1057&format=png&auto=webp&s=f2eb1790f74f7a099f0cbb46f99be06b089c42e5

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Post Information
Title Am I alone thinking this is not a convincing data sample?
Author

trsam

Upvotes 11
Comments 28
Date August 30, 2022 11:49 PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Subreddit Posted in /r/MensRights
Original Link https://old.reddit.com/r/MensRights/comments/x1yen8/am_i_alone_thinking_this_is_not_a_convincing_data/
Archive Link https://theredarchive.com/r/MensRights/am-i-alone-thinking-this-is-not-a-convincing-data.1130671
https://theredarchive.com/post/1130671
Top posts by trsam

The days I do not have contact with my kids are the darkest. I stare into an abyss over and over. Relief comes best from the yearningly awaited moments around them. That is my life. My heart breaks over and over from the thoughts of the challenges ahead for my babies. What must I do for them?

98 upvotes
August 20, 2022
/r/MensRights

Once upon a time this was a funny joke.. :{

3 upvotes
November 23, 2022
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Comments

[–]dw87190 22 points23 points24 points 3 years ago (4 children) | Copy Link

Aussie here. Australia exaggerates the number of female victims and all accusations against a man are counted in the statistics, regardless of facts, evidence and if the case was even investigated. Unsurprising to all you, the number of male victims is severely downplayed. Can confirm from trying that cops won't even let men most file a report, you'll get denied the second they realise you're attempting to see a female perpetrator brought to justice

[–]treeerty 9 points10 points11 points 3 years ago (1 child) | Copy Link

More and more Ashamed to call this country home by the day sadly. It’s upsetting because Australia really was a great country.

[–]denisc9918 0 points1 point2 points 3 years ago (0 children) | Copy Link

Yep 100%

[–]StripedFalafel 8 points9 points10 points 3 years ago (0 children) | Copy Link

Unsurprising to all you, the number of male victims is severely downplayed.

No men were surveyed. There is an equivalent study of men but they aren't asked about their experience of violence. No one cares.

[–]Yahwehs_bitch 6 points7 points8 points 3 years ago (0 children) | Copy Link

I’m an Aussie and have a sneaking suspicion that it isn’t 1/3 women have been viscously raped by a violent man. Could be wrong, but I have my doubts

[–]Undying_goddess 9 points10 points11 points 3 years ago (13 children) | Copy Link

The Australian government should be considered a credible source under no circumstances.

[–]trsam[S] 1 point2 points3 points 3 years ago (11 children) | Copy Link

Thanks for sharing. What do you think about the data sample size?

[–]Undying_goddess 2 points3 points4 points 3 years ago (10 children) | Copy Link

Why would I bother with the details when the source is already enough to strip it of any credibility whatsoever?

[–]trsam[S] 1 point2 points3 points 3 years ago (5 children) | Copy Link

This post is about the sample size and discussing what folks think of it? I am asking you to bother with details please! :) I do appreciate your comments regarding the Government and the source credibility but, for conversation sake, what might be a better source of data or what if any universal definitions might exisit to collaborate meaninful quantities of data on sexual assault and domestic violence?

[–]Undying_goddess 1 point2 points3 points 3 years ago (4 children) | Copy Link

I assumed that when you asked about the quality of the "Data sample", you meant more broadly about the data as a whole rather than just the sample size specifically. The reason I brought up the source is because the Australian government can't be trusted to put forward correct and honest data in the first place, so the sample size doesn't really matter in the end because 100 or 100,000 are equally worthless when falsified.

[–]trsam[S] 0 points1 point2 points 3 years ago (3 children) | Copy Link

I think I agree after reading articles like the one linked. I think it is a low standard of journalism. Super easy to lap up if the narrative suits yeah?

[–]Undying_goddess 1 point2 points3 points 3 years ago (1 child) | Copy Link

The people that believe this crap would consider a meth head in the street a credible source if his ramblings aligned with their political movement, and the media would call everyone who criticizes him a science denier.

[–]trsam[S] 0 points1 point2 points 3 years ago (0 children) | Copy Link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rf71YotfykQ

[–]denisc9918 1 point2 points3 points 3 years ago (0 children) | Copy Link

It could easily be argued that the ABC is the most credible msm organisation in Australia.

but I can not find anything wrong with you comment.

[–]Extension_Ad_439 0 points1 point2 points 3 years ago (3 children) | Copy Link

This is called a genetic fallacy.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Genetic_fallacy#:~:text=The%20genetic%20fallacy%20(also%20known,origin%20rather%20than%20their%20content.

[–]WikiMobileLinkBot 1 point2 points3 points 3 years ago (1 child) | Copy Link

Desktop version of /u/Extension_Ad_439's link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Genetic_fallacy


[opt out] Beep Boop. Downvote to delete

[–]Extension_Ad_439 0 points1 point2 points 3 years ago (0 children) | Copy Link

Good bot

[–]trsam[S] 0 points1 point2 points 3 years ago (0 children) | Copy Link

I took it at the level that this type of media is typical for this source.
I have not been awake to this nonsense for very long, but once you see it.. what the smeg is going on? A large number of people going batshit crazy with feminism. For months I watched the wife parade around with a black and pink hoody with 'The Future is Female' plastered all over it. I wondered why and got on with life. Hindsight suggests that she was brainwashed. I consider her still delusional to this day, the crap she comes up with, the constant telling me I'm a toxic male and privelidged. It never stops. I honestly don't know what to make of it. She assaulted me, then reported me to police for assaulting her. And oh wow you should see the laughter and the joy on her face. You could be forgiven for thinking she just won the lottery.

[–]mikesteane 1 point2 points3 points 3 years ago (0 children) | Copy Link

And they turned their backs on the most credible of sources, Mr Julian Assange. Disgraceful!

[–]trsam[S] 2 points3 points4 points 3 years ago (0 children) | Copy Link

Holler Back!

[–]StripedFalafel 2 points3 points4 points 3 years ago (2 children) | Copy Link

This survey was done by the Australian Institute of Family Studies who were originally set up to deflect criticism of the Family Court. And it's organised by ANROWS who are the gold standard of bigotry.

I've only had a quick look but:

  1. The results differ wildly from any others I’ve seen – about 3 times the rates claimed from the (somewhat less dodgy) Bureau of Stats survey (PSS).
  2. The 20 year old cohort (the ones with the staggeringly high accusation rates) was recruited using a completely different strategy to other cohorts. Most responded to ads on Facebook targeting women and their health. I'm guessing they went fishing for feminists to survey.
  3. The results for different cohorts seem contradictory. For example, 20 year olds are more than twice as likely as 70 year olds to claim sexual violence at any time over the course of their life.
  4. AIFS also run a similar study for men. They don’t ask men about any of this stuff.

But I don't think sample size is a big issue.

[–]trsam[S] 0 points1 point2 points 3 years ago (1 child) | Copy Link

Thanks for the response :) Very interesting points!
If the data size was like that of Census would it not be more meaningful? (Assuming a reasonable formula to define SA and DV?)
I'd love to understand better.. the article touches on problems with defining and accurate reporting of SA and DV, then goes on to report findings from a database with several thousand respondents. Seems contradictory..! *sigh* abc.. what happened.... lol

[–]StripedFalafel 0 points1 point2 points 3 years ago (0 children) | Copy Link

With a sample you are only estimating the real number but you can get a good estimate with a sample of 1,000. To get a feeling for the accuracu of the estimate try downlading the report from this page . Starting at PDF page 37 you can see information about the conifdence intervals. We can be 95% confident that the real number is within that range.

But all of that sets an upper limit on how good the results are. If there's any bias then all bets are off. And I'm pretty confident there's bias here - the results just down line up with anything else.

[–]trsam[S] 1 point2 points3 points 3 years ago (0 children) | Copy Link

Downvote as you wish, but please comment why! Appreciated! Thanks Reddit! LoL.

[–]KazukiYahashi 1 point2 points3 points 3 years ago (0 children) | Copy Link

Australia has a massive female sympathy/favoritism.

[–]rm-rd 0 points1 point2 points 3 years ago (0 children) | Copy Link

If they don't survey men, it's both excluding male victims, and hard to put the figures in context.

Now I'm not saying men can't be victims. But if a survey includes "has your SO, past or present, ever physically pushed you" then maybe you'd expect a little less hysteria if it was a large number of men and women.

[–]TalonOfPower 0 points1 point2 points 3 years ago (0 children) | Copy Link

I think I’m just dumb, cause if I’m being honest, I don’t understand what I’m lookin at here

[–]pearl_harbour1941 0 points1 point2 points 3 years ago (0 children) | Copy Link

It's ALL in the definitions of what they say is sexual assault.

For example, in the 1980s Mary Koss redefined the word "rape" in her survey on campus rape so that it included any sexual contact, however slight, between consensual partners in a long-term monogamous and committed relationship, if any amount of alcohol had been consumed.

So...a loving, romantic dinner on a Saturday night that ended in passionate love making....was considered rape.

Any wonder that after that, the reports of rape massively increased?

Likewise, sexual assault has be defined to include, "actual, non-completed, threatened, or perceived non-wanted sexual contact" which includes staring at someone (and thus also perceived staring). It is NO wonder that by this loose and all-encompassing definition, 1 in 3 women will be "sexually assaulted" in their lifetime.

"Have you ever felt like a man was staring at you?" Yes? You've been sexually assaulted.

Like, holy fuck. This is so degrading and minimizing to the survivors of REAL sexual assault. What a way to diminish actual traumatic events for people!

"I had a 240lb woman hold me down and smear her foul rotten-fish-smelling vulva on my face, making me almost vomit"

"Yeah, I was sexually assaulted too. I felt like a man once looked at me. So traumatizing."

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