Only 1-3% of rapists are convicted.

Is it really true that someone who commits rape only has a 3% chance of going to jail?

No.

The first problem is that the statistic assumes that every rape reported to police is true. Given that even convicted rapists have been set free this is untrue. I could flip this and say 97% of rape allegations are false. This one is actually more true as innocent until proven guilty.

The second – and even bigger problem – is that the statistic simply assumes that every rape not reported to police – that is, only reported on an anonymous survey is a truthful and accurate claim of rape. It goes without saying how false this is.

There are whole articles on this and news reports wanting more rape allegations to result on conviction with no evidence. If this goes through anyone could be accused and convicted for no reason.

https://www.theguardian.com/society/2021/may/23/fewer-than-one-in-60-cases-lead-to-charge-in-england-and-wales (example)

This also leads on to the beilieve all victims and guilty untill proven innocent arguments. If this eas implemted in court anyone could be accused and instantly charged.

Tldr: This is false because

1)It assumes all rape claims made to police are true (in reality, even some convicted rapists, let alone those who are not even charged, are victims of false claims).

2)It assumes all rape claims NOT made to police are true – obviously false.

3)It assumes all rapists who go to jail only committed one rape.

If you see anyone repeating this dishonest statistic, that in fact harms rape victims (a rape victim who believed it might reasonably think, I should not bother reporting.) point them to this post and tell them not to say it again. And tell them that 97% of rape allegations are false.