My theory of the day: What if the whole issue behind this Red Pill phenomenon isn’t whether Red Pill behaviors “work” or not? What if the real issue is what those Red Pill behaviors change in someone’s life? What outcomes are the same, better, or worse, depending on a man’s behaviors?

Let’s start with a couple of givens from the internet: About 50% of women will admit to cheating on a man at some point in their life. About 50% of marriages end in divorce. So let’s just assume for the sake of argument that if you meet a woman, there’s about a 50% chance she’s going to cheat on you and/or the two of you are going to end up divorced. And a 50% chance that she’ll never cheat on you and/or your marriage will withstand the test of time.

Now, you approach this woman and don’t use any “Red Pill” behaviors. You’re shy, you watch her from across the room. It takes you all night to work up the courage to go talk to her. Luckily for you, she thinks this is kind of cute and charming. You stumble over your words but manage to tell her you think she’s pretty. You buy her a drink, then two, then you exchange phone numbers. The next day, you call her, eager to follow up, and she tells you she just wants to be friends. You stay friends with her for three years, hanging out and doing all kinds of fun things together, her feelings eventually grow for you, and you start dating for real. You end up married to your best friend. Hooray!

Two years later, you learn that she’s been cheating on you for the past six months, maybe longer. You accuse her, she admits it, says she’s not happy and hasn’t been for a long time. She files for divorce the next week. The Red Pill has a field day proclaiming that if you’d been less of a timid nice guy and actually taken control of this relationship, this never would have happened. Everyone else says that this girl was just a bitch, you got unlucky finding this one, but don’t let it get you down. You meet another girl, get married, and this time it lasts, because you had a 50-50 shot, and this time, statistics went your way.

Because it’s a 50-50 shot, we have no way of knowing if this guy’s non-Red-Pill behavior cost him his first marriage, or if he just drew a bad girl. If the guy had undertaken Red Pill behaviors instead, and the first marriage went fine, we’d have no way of knowing if The Red Pill “worked” for him, or if he just got lucky and got one of the good 50%.

If 99% of marriages worked, or 99% of marriages failed, and The Red Pill produced a noticeable statistical difference, we’d be on to something. But in a world where 50% of women cheat and 50% of marriages end in divorce, it’s just not possible to tell whether any one behavior or set of behaviors is affecting anything. Because a Red Pill hater could just as easily say that this was a 50-50 shot and being a Red Pill man or a Mr. Nice Guy non-Red-Pill man just determines how big of a dick you are.

What we do know, however, is that a lot of women don’t like non-masculine Nice Guy men. At least not in an overtly sexual way. A few do. We also know that a lot of people don’t like Red Pill guys acting like jerks. At least not long term. But some do. It’s fair to say that there’s a certain type of woman who is going to go home with a Red Pill guy and turn down every non-Red-Pill guy who walks up to her, and if you’re not doing Red Pill behaviors, you have no shot with her. (For clarification, Red-Pill behaviors in this context means being fit, successful, and confident, acting valuable, and not giving the woman any special attention or validation – if a guy, in his head, assumes a whole bunch of negative things about women, that just helps him be more confident when he banters with the woman – we’ll assume for this example, the guy is not being an overt asshole and telling the woman she and all women are cheating slut whores, like the 1% of Red Pill posters everyone likes to make fun of.) It’s equally fair to say that there are probably some women out there who will turn you down at the first sign of any Red Pill behaviors.

So what if “Red Pill” isn’t some magic formula that “works” or “doesn’t work?” What if it’s viewed more as a set of behaviors and assumptions that will make your more successful with a certain type of woman (and possibly less successful with others), but that’s what Red Pill men are really after anyway? If you want to be successful with a 22-year-old, extremely attractive bar slut who’s going to go home with you that night, or the next night at the latest, and you’re not looking to get married ever, and you want to date six women just like this at once, none of whom will pressure you for commitment, you’ll be ten times more successful if you go at this with a Red Pill attitude, even though you might be turning off and chasing away other types of women. Likewise, if you turn that Red Pill stuff off and act “normal” (it’s debatable how normal and abnormal some RP stuff is – a lot of it is just plain jane confidence) you’ll be primed to attract a whole different type of woman, but at the expense of never attracting the type of woman Red Pill guys get.

What if Red Pill isn’t “wrong” or “right” and it doesn’t “work” or “fail?” I.e. if Red Pill is just a set of behaviors that changes the type of woman you attract and the type of relationships you form.

(Note: A valuable comment would include thoughts on the topic expressed in the text above, not general remarks like, “some of teh RP asshats hate wimin and say tehy all suk and r slutz! thats wrong no matter whut!”)