Any impact on the paid-sex market does affect the civilian dating market. If men could have sex with a different supermodel every day for the cost of a Mc Donalds hamburger then they would not jump through hoops for a relationship. The amount of effort men put into a real relationship is directly proportionate to the availability, quality and cost of paid companionship.

Para social relationships one form of paid relationship. They are inferior to real relationships. But for some men this is all they have. ~2% of women in the United States are in some form of online sex work. This means that if a synthetic alternative to high priced cam models and OF is released then this will have a significant impact on the civilian dating market. Essentially every man will be able to have a private OF companion for $10 a month that looks and talks and acts exactly how they want. It will be the equivalent of what women get from romance novels.

I strongly suspect that OF style para social relationships will soon be impacted by crude versions of Joi from Bladerunner this year.

For those who don't know Quest 3 recently released. This is sort of a historical first in "porn" history. It's the first low cost VR headset that allows for decent, not great, mixed VR. You can play with virtual characters layered onto your own real-world space. Here are two examples of this so far (SFW):

The examples give a glimpse into the future of simulated companions. Use your imagination. I really didn't expect things to come together this fast. Keep in mind that the Quest 3 is also a low end headset. Apple Vision Pro will release early 24, which will be quite stunning.